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Liga Nacional: table and chances
The table of Argentina's Liga Nacional de Básquet with its zones, the next games in Argentina time and each team's chance of making the playoffs, avoiding the Play Out or winning the title. It updates itself.
Season 2026/27 Regular season: 46 of 306 games played.
Title favourites
- Quimsa32.4%
- Peñarol (MDP)12.8%
- Atenas (C)8.1%
Closest to relegation
- San Martín (C)34.7%
- Oberá17.9%
- San Lorenzo11.5%
Table
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Diff | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 6 | 6 | 0 | +63 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Peñarol (MDP) | 5 | 4 | 1 | +33 | 9 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Atenas (C) | 4 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 7 | WWWL |
| 4 | Instituto | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 7 | WWLW |
| 5 | Gimnasia (CR) | 7 | 5 | 2 | +26 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 6 | Olimpico (LB) | 5 | 3 | 2 | +24 | 8 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Argentino (J) | 5 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 8 | LWLWW |
| 8 | Boca | 6 | 3 | 3 | +19 | 9 | WWLLL |
| 9 | Racing (CH) | 6 | 3 | 3 | -13 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 10 | Platense | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | WLWLL |
| 11 | Independiente (O) | 2 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 3 | WL |
| 12 | Lanús | 8 | 3 | 5 | -26 | 11 | WWLLL |
| 13 | Ferro | 6 | 2 | 4 | -21 | 8 | LWLLW |
| 14 | La Union FSA | 3 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 4 | LWL |
| 15 | Regatas (C) | 4 | 1 | 3 | -14 | 5 | LLLW |
| 16 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 1 | 3 | -18 | 5 | LLLW |
| 17 | Oberá | 5 | 1 | 4 | -39 | 6 | WLLLL |
| 18 | San Martín (C) | 6 | 0 | 6 | -62 | 6 | LLLLL |
- 1st–4th: Straight to the quarter-finals
- 5th–12th: Reclasificación (playoffs)
- 13th–16th: Season over
- 17th–18th: Play Out (relegation)
2 points a win, 1 a loss. While teams have played different numbers of games the order is by share of wins, as in the league table.
Season chances
| Team | Top 4 | Top 12 | Play Out | Relegated | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimsa | 88% | >99% | <1% | 0% | 32% |
| Peñarol (MDP) | 55% | 95% | <1% | <1% | 13% |
| Atenas (C) | 40% | 90% | 1% | <1% | 8% |
| Instituto | 16% | 71% | 5% | 2% | 3% |
| Gimnasia (CR) | 42% | 95% | <1% | <1% | 8% |
| Olimpico (LB) | 32% | 87% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Argentino (J) | 21% | 79% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| Boca | 29% | 88% | 1% | <1% | 7% |
| Racing (CH) | 7% | 60% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Platense | 16% | 77% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Independiente (O) | 21% | 72% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Lanús | 2% | 41% | 15% | 7% | <1% |
| Ferro | 7% | 60% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| La Union FSA | 12% | 62% | 11% | 5% | 3% |
| Regatas (C) | 6% | 51% | 15% | 7% | 2% |
| San Lorenzo | 4% | 40% | 24% | 11% | 1% |
| Oberá | 1% | 25% | 35% | 18% | <1% |
| San Martín (C) | <1% | 9% | 61% | 35% | <1% |
Share of 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Top 12 = the postseason (straight to the quarter-finals or Reclasificación).
Where does your team finish?
Most likely place for Quimsa: 1st (51.8%). Expected wins: 25.7 of 34.
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Next games
Sun Nov 1
- 20:30Institutovs.Gimnasia (CR)46%54%
- 21:00Atenas (C)vs.Racing (CH)66%34%
Mon Nov 2
- 22:00Olimpico (LB)vs.Peñarol (MDP)52%48%
Tue Nov 3
- 21:00Institutovs.Racing (CH)58%42%
- 21:30La Union FSAvs.Argentino (J)52%48%
- 21:30Atenas (C)vs.Gimnasia (CR)55%45%
Wed Nov 4
- 22:00Olimpico (LB)vs.Lanús70%30%
Thu Nov 5
- 21:00Oberávs.Argentino (J)42%58%
- 21:30Independiente (O)vs.Gimnasia (CR)50%50%
Fri Nov 6
- 20:30San Lorenzovs.Regatas (C)52%48%
- 21:00Quimsavs.Lanús80%20%
- 21:35Ferrovs.San Martín (C)69%31%
Sat Nov 7
- 20:00Bocavs.La Union FSA65%35%
Sun Nov 8
- –Racing (CH)vs.Regatas (C)56%44%time to be set
- 20:00San Lorenzovs.San Martín (C)65%35%
- 20:30Quimsavs.Instituto76%24%
Mon Nov 9
- 20:30Lanúsvs.La Union FSA50%50%
- 21:00Gimnasia (CR)vs.Oberá74%26%
Tue Nov 10
- 20:30Bocavs.San Martín (C)78%22%
- 21:00Argentino (J)vs.Regatas (C)62%38%
- 22:00Olimpico (LB)vs.Instituto64%36%
Wed Nov 11
- 20:30Platensevs.Peñarol (MDP)46%54%
Thu Nov 12
- 21:00Atenas (C)vs.San Lorenzo69%31%
Fri Nov 13
- 20:00Ferrovs.Peñarol (MDP)42%58%
Argentina time. The percentage is each side's chance of winning the game (the home side first).
Last results
- Sat Oct 31Quimsa78–73Peñarol (MDP)
- Thu Oct 29Lanús81–72San Martín (C)
- Wed Oct 28Gimnasia (CR)73–61Ferro
- Wed Oct 28Boca95–83Regatas (C)
- Wed Oct 28San Lorenzo58–80Platense
- Tue Oct 27Peñarol (MDP)95–76San Martín (C)
- Mon Oct 26Lanús72–63Regatas (C)
- Sun Oct 25Racing (CH)54–68Quimsa
- Fri Oct 23Racing (CH)72–80Boca
- Fri Oct 23Atenas (C)80–69Lanús
- Fri Oct 23Argentino (J)76–78Quimsa
- Wed Oct 21Instituto75–73Lanús
How we compute it
- Every team has a rating in points of margin, fitted on the 46 games of this season; home court is worth 1.6 points.
- Ratings are pulled toward the average as if each team had 6 more games against an average team ending level, so a short run does not count for too much.
- A game ends around the expected margin with a spread of 10.1 points (normal law); the chance of winning comes from there.
- We play the rest of the season 10,000 times: the regular season with the tie-breaks of the rules, then the whole bracket. Each run also redraws the ratings within what we know about each team.
- The rules only say the better-placed team hosts the deciding game of a series; for games not yet in the fixture we assume the order 2-2-1 (2-2-1-1-1 in the final).
- Points scored are not simulated: if a tie-break gets that far, it is drawn at random.
- Series odds for any chance per game: playoff series calculator →
Updated 2026-11-01 19:37 (Argentina time) · Source: laliganacional.com.ar (table and fixture)
How the season works
- Regular seasonThe 18 teams play each other home and away, 34 games each (the rules call it the Serie Regular). A win is worth 2 points, a loss 1.
- ReclasificaciónA play-in round. Teams 5th to 12th play best-of-5 series: 5th-12th, 6th-11th, 7th-10th, 8th-9th. The winners are re-ordered by their regular-season place.
- Quarter-finalsTeams 1st to 4th wait there. The pairs are 1st-8th, 2nd-7th, 3rd-6th, 4th-5th, also best of 5.
- Semis and finalSemi-finals are best of 5: the winner of the first quarter-final plays the winner of the fourth, the second plays the third. The final is best of 7.
- Play OutThe bottom teams (17th and 18th) play a best-of-5 series. The loser goes down to La Liga Argentina, the tier below.
What each place leads to
| Place | What comes next | Series |
|---|---|---|
| 1st to 4th | Quarter-finals, straight in | Best of 5 |
| 5th to 12th | Reclasificación | Best of 5 |
| 13th to 16th | Season over | – |
| 17th and 18th | Play Out against relegation | Best of 5 |
From the league's General Rules (see sources).
Sources
- AdC Reglamento General 2026/27 (Liga Nacional de Básquetbol), arts. 9, 10, 21-23 · checked Nov 1, 2026
- La Liga Nacional: Formato (temporada 2026/27) · checked Nov 1, 2026
Questions
How many teams play the 2026/27 Liga Nacional?
18, in a single table. The rules say this number is an exception for this season.
Who is relegated?
The loser of the Play Out between the 17th and 18th teams of the regular season, a best of 5. It goes down to La Liga Argentina; the winner ends its season and stays in the Liga Nacional.
How are the chances worked out?
Each team has a rating built from this season's point margins, plus the edge of playing at home. We simulate what is left 10,000 times, with the tie-breaks and the playoff bracket of the rules. The more games played, the firmer the ratings.
What is the Reclasificación?
The first round of the postseason, a play-in: teams 5th to 12th play best-of-5 series and the winners meet teams 1st to 4th in the quarter-finals.
Who plays at home in a series?
The better-placed team has home court: if the series goes the distance, it hosts the last game. The order of the other games is not in the rules: for games not yet in the fixture we assume 2-2-1, and 2-2-1-1-1 in the final. That is our assumption.
How often is it updated?
The table and the fixture are read from the league's site once an hour. If the source stops answering and the data gets old, the page says so and hides the numbers.