29→ Cups
Copa Sudamericana final
The Sudamericana final 2026 is a single match in Barranquilla: Atlético-MG and Boca. Before kick-off, each side's chance in 90 minutes, extra time and penalties; afterwards, the champion.
Final 2026 · one match
BRAAtlético-MGvs.ARGBoca Juniors
Sat Nov 21, 2026, 19:30 (Argentina time)
Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla, Colombia
Boca lifts the cup in about 6 finals out of 10 like this one, by our model.
After 90 minutes
Six ways to the cup
- Atlético-MG wins in 90 minutes27.2%
- Atlético-MG wins in extra time5.2%
- Atlético-MG wins on penalties7.0%
- Boca wins on penalties7.0%
- Boca wins in extra time7.7%
- Boca wins in 90 minutes46.0%
Expected goals in 90 minutes: Atlético-MG 1.02, Boca 1.41.
Head to head since 2024
They have not met since 2024 in any match of our data (CONMEBOL cups, Copa Argentina, top leagues).
Road to the final
BRAAtlético-MG
- Round of 16vs. Bragantino 3–2
- Quarter-finalsvs. Santos 4–4 pens
- Semi-finalsvs. MC Torque 3–2
ARGBoca
- Round of 16vs. Dep. Recoleta 7–1
- Quarter-finalsvs. São Paulo 2–1
- Semi-finalsvs. Vasco 3–2
How we compute it
- Every club has an Elo-type rating built from 10,515 matches since 2024 (CONMEBOL cups, Copa Argentina and the top leagues of ten countries).
- Goals of each side follow a Poisson law from the rating gap; home advantage is worth 70 rating points.
- Extra time counts as a third of a match at the same scoring rate.
- A penalty shoot-out is a coin flip (50% each side): a neutral assumption, not a measured rate.
- Clubs from high altitude (Bolivia, Quito) come out over-rated: one home advantage is used for every stadium.
- The final is one match at a venue chosen by CONMEBOL; we treat it as neutral ground (no home advantage for either side).
Updated 2026-11-01 17:37 (Argentina time)
How the final is decided
- 90 minutesOne match at a venue chosen by CONMEBOL. The model gives neither side a home advantage.
- Extra timeIf level, 30 more minutes.
- PenaltiesIf still level, penalties until there is a champion.
What the champion gets
| Prize | Against |
|---|---|
| Recopa 2027 | The Libertadores 2026 champion |
The Recopa is played over two legs; the second at the Libertadores champion's ground.
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Questions
When is the Sudamericana final 2026?
Date: Nov 21, 2026. Venue: Barranquilla. The Argentine kick-off time and the countdown are above.
Is there extra time in the Sudamericana final?
Yes. Level after 90 minutes means 30 minutes of extra time; if still level, penalties.
What does the Sudamericana champion win?
A place in the Recopa 2027 against the Libertadores champion, over two legs.