10→ Football
Fixtures and Difficulty
Every game left, with day, Argentina time and chances. On top, each club's run-in coloured by difficulty: green when the rival is kind, red when it is very tough.
What each club has left
KindFairEvenToughVery tough
ClubRivals leftExpected pts
Expected points = 3 x chance to win + 1 x chance to draw, from our model. Kindest run-in on top.
Game by game
Sunday, November 1
Belgrano vs. BarracasBeing played now
Newell's vs. UniónBeing played now
Lanús vs. Gimnasia (M)20:45
- 46%Lanús
- 28%Draw
- 27%Gimnasia (M)
Monday, November 2
Platense vs. Central Córdoba19:00
- 47%Platense
- 25%Draw
- 28%Central Córdoba
Defensa vs. Independiente19:00
- 46%Defensa
- 27%Draw
- 27%Independiente
Atl. Tucumán vs. Argentinos21:15
- 35%Atl. Tucumán
- 28%Draw
- 37%Argentinos
Ind. Rivadavia vs. Banfield21:15
- 39%Ind. Rivadavia
- 25%Draw
- 35%Banfield
The weekend of November 8 (day and time to be confirmed)
Aldosivi vs. RiverTBC
- 31%Aldosivi
- 27%Draw
- 42%River
Unión vs. VélezTBC
- 35%Unión
- 24%Draw
- 41%Vélez
Talleres vs. Estudiantes (LP)TBC
- 40%Talleres
- 25%Draw
- 35%Estudiantes (LP)
San Lorenzo vs. PlatenseTBC
- 39%San Lorenzo
- 28%Draw
- 33%Platense
Central vs. Estudiantes (RC)TBC
- 55%Central
- 24%Draw
- 21%Estudiantes (RC)
Instituto vs. Newell'sTBC
- 44%Instituto
- 27%Draw
- 29%Newell's
Independiente vs. RiestraTBC
- 43%Independiente
- 29%Draw
- 28%Riestra
Gimnasia (M) vs. Ind. RivadaviaTBC
- 42%Gimnasia (M)
- 26%Draw
- 32%Ind. Rivadavia
Gimnasia (LP) vs. BelgranoTBC
- 43%Gimnasia (LP)
- 27%Draw
- 30%Belgrano
Central Córdoba vs. LanúsTBC
- 27%Central Córdoba
- 26%Draw
- 46%Lanús
Boca vs. DefensaTBC
- 43%Boca
- 27%Draw
- 31%Defensa
Barracas vs. RacingTBC
- 44%Barracas
- 27%Draw
- 29%Racing
Banfield vs. Atl. TucumánTBC
- 39%Banfield
- 27%Draw
- 34%Atl. Tucumán
Argentinos vs. HuracánTBC
- 47%Argentinos
- 28%Draw
- 26%Huracán
Tigre vs. SarmientoTBC
- 41%Tigre
- 26%Draw
- 33%Sarmiento
Updated 2026-11-01 17:37 (Argentina time)

How it is coloured
- ChancesFor every game the model works out each club's chance to win, draw and lose.
- Expected pointsThree times the chance to win plus the chance to draw: what the game is worth on average.
- ColourMore expected points, greener. Fewer, redder. H and A say whether the club is at home or away.
- OrderThe club with the kindest run-in goes on top, the toughest at the bottom.
Keep going
Questions
Does the fixture include the play-offs?
Yes, once the pairings are known. Before that, only the regular-phase games left show up.
Why do some games have no time?
Because the league has not confirmed it yet. We show the time only once it is on the official calendar; until then it says "to be confirmed" and the day can move too.
What is a kind run-in?
An end of the tournament against rivals the model expects more points from. It does not mean the club will win those games.