39→ Formula 1
Who can still be champion?
Who is still alive in the title fight, how many points they are missing and what they need at the next Grand Prix. Set the results and see who drops out.
5 races left, with up to 125 points per driver. Whoever cannot reach the leader even winning them all is out.
Andrea Kimi AntonelliMercedes
365points–to the leader490maximum> 99.9%title (sim.)
Champion at the Mexico City Grand Prix if he loses no more than 22 points to any rival there.
George RussellMercedes
242points−123to the leader367maximum< 0.1%title (sim.)
Must outscore the leader by at least 23 points at the Mexico City Grand Prix to stay alive.
Lewis HamiltonFerrari
241points−124to the leader366maximum< 0.1%title (sim.)
Must outscore the leader by at least 24 points at the Mexico City Grand Prix to stay alive.
Play the Mexico City Grand Prix
Choose where each contender finishes. The others fill the remaining places.
| Driver | Race |
|---|---|
| Antonelli | |
| Russell | |
| Hamilton |
With these results Andrea Kimi Antonelli can no longer be caught: champion with 4 races to spare.
| Pos | Driver | Pts | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 390 | +25 |
| 2 | George Russell | 260 | +18 |
| 3 | Lewis Hamilton | 256 | +15 |
| 4 | Max Verstappen | 236 | 0 |
What "mathematically alive" means
We give the driver the maximum in every remaining race and sprint (a win each time) and zero points to everyone else. If even then he does not pass the leader, he is out. On equal points the tie-break is the number of race wins, then second places, and so on.
The title chances come from 20,000 simulated seasons with a model fitted on this year's results. They are an estimate, not a prediction.
Updated 2026-11-01 17:37 (Argentina time)
The survival math
Points + maximum left ≥ leader's points
Example: 5 races and 125 points left: anyone further back than that cannot make it.
Using the simulator
- Set placesFor each contender, where they finish the next race. On a sprint weekend, the sprint too.
- Read the resultIt instantly recomputes who is still alive and whether someone is already champion.
- ShareThe link keeps your scenario so you can send it to anyone.
Keep going
Questions
How many drivers can still win the title?
Still mathematically alive right now: 3. There are 5 races left and up to 125 points per driver.
What if two drivers finish level on points?
The one with more race wins takes it. If still level, second places count, then thirds, and so on.
How many points can a driver score in one weekend?
Up to 25 on a normal weekend and 33 with a sprint, winning everything.