29→ Basketball

Playoff series

Choose the length of the series, the order of home games and how often your team wins at home and away. You get the chance to advance, every possible path and what home advantage is worth.

Your team wins the series57.9%best of 7, first to 4 wins
Series
Order of games (H = your team at home)

Winning 60.0% at home and 45.0% away, your team takes the series 57.9% of the time.

52.5%a single game, average of home and away

53.2%the same series if the rival had the extra home games

5.8games on average

Every path of the series

0–0: 100.0%0–1: 40.0%0–2: 16.0%0–3: 8.8%0–4: 4.8%1–0: 60.0%1–1: 48.0%1–2: 33.6%1–3: 22.4%1–4: 9.0%2–0: 36.0%2–1: 41.4%2–2: 37.9%2–3: 28.6%2–4: 15.7%3–0: 16.2%3–1: 27.5%3–2: 33.8%3–3: 31.4%3–4: 12.6%4–0: 7.3%4–1: 16.5%4–2: 15.2%4–3: 18.9%0–4 5%1–4 9%2–4 16%3–4 13%4–0 7%4–1 17%4–2 15%4–3 19%1H2H3A4A5H6A7H

Green up: your team wins the game; red down: it loses. H or A under each game: your team at home or away.

How it ends

4–07.3%

4–116.5%

4–215.2%

4–318.9%

3–412.6%

2–415.7%

1–49.0%

0–44.8%

Illustration: Playoff series

The example above

A single game52.5%Average of winning 60% at home and 45% away.
Best of five57.6%Series with a 2-2-1 home order.
Best of seven57.9%Series with a 2-2-1-1-1 home order.

How to read the chart

  1. UpEvery step up is a game your team wins; down, a game it loses.
  2. ThicknessThe thicker the line, the more likely that path.
  3. EndThe end points show each final series score and its chance.

Questions

How often does it go to game seven?

In the example, the best-of-seven series reaches game seven 31% of the time and lasts 5.8 games on average.

Can I work out a series already under way?

Yes. Choose how the series stands and the chance is worked out from there.

Which home order does the Liga Nacional use?

It depends on each season's rules. Choose the right order or tap each game to change who is at home.